Election will prove to be beginning of the end for Brown

It now seems there are literally cabinet ministers resigning every hour! And indeed there are! This has, without a doubt, been Gordon Brown's worst day ever as Prime Minister! Now there is a letter going about the Labour backbenchers calling for Brown to go and is believed to have been signed by as much as 100 Labour MPs! If this is true, and it's looking increasingly like it is, then this is truly the beginning of the end for the PM!



Tomorrows Euro election will nail the final nail in the coffin for Brown! Why? Because Labour is going to lose big, and I mean BIG!!! The latest opinion poll for the Euro vote put the SNP a massive 19 points ahead of Labour! SNP are now above 40%, for both Europe and Westminster! So what about the seats. Scotland has six euro seats (one less than last time) and the result is based on Proportional Representation. My prediction is this:

• SNP - Wins 3 seats and wins popular vote


• Labour - Will hold on to 2 seats but do very badly in popular vote


• Conservatives - Wins 1 seat and better and improved showing in popular vote


• Lib Dems - Loses their sole seat and are squeezed in popular vote

This prediction is actually quite a good one for Labour as it is perfectly possible Labour will only win one seat! And what about after the election? Well, we won't know the full result of the vote until Sunday evening as it will take days to count all the votes, but here is how things will likely appear to happen - An email is due to be sent on Friday around the Labour backbenchers calling on Brown to resign. Brown will resist this at first, but pressure will really intensify. On Monday, the Euro result will pile even more pressure on Brown. On Tuesday, I think we will begin to wonder if cabinet ministers are now willing to serve under Brown and I have a feeling that rumours of discontent among the cabinet will emerge. Wednesday will be a big day at Westminster as a vote is due to take place on whether there should be an immediate general election. The motion is being tabled by the SNP and Plaid Cymru and has the backing of the Tories and the Lib Dems and possibly several Labour MPs! It will probably not pass, but the vote will be very close so it will be seen as a vote of confidence in the Prime Minister!

My guess is that Brown now only has about two weeks left as PM! The public are outstandingly angry, the government's own backbenchers are angry and a Tory government now looks certain after the next election! The SNP looks set to win its targeted 2o seats at Westminster, possibly even making it a bigger party than the Lib Dems! Surely things cannot get any worse for Gordon Brown? But they can, and they will! We are looking at a dead PM walking! Not since Margaret Thatcher have we seen anything like this! The people of this country do not deserve a PM who has lost control and authority and a PM who, some, people feel sorry for! A strong Prime Minster is needed! But what this whole thing has revealed is that Westminster has no authority or control over Scotland and Independence is needed more than ever before! The case for independence makes sense. The only way Scotland can get away from all the London sleaze and corruption is by having an independent Scottish Parliament!

Voters tomorrow have a chance to vote for change, let's hope they do that by voting SNP! I'll have all the latest about the election tomorrow and the feeling from the polling places as well! So to everyone out there, good luck crushing Labour tomorrow!

IT'S ON!

Michael Martin has confirmed that he will indeed stand down as an MP. Not that this news is of any surprise, we all knew that he was going to do it, but now he has confirmed it, which now effectively means that the by-election is now 'officially' on!

He will step down as the MP on the same day as he resigns as Speaker - 21st June. This will give too options for Labour: Hold a quick, election in August OR slug it out and wait until September!

This is going to be a very interesting summer!

Labour chief whip spills the beans on early election!

Apparently it's been revealed that the Labour chief whip has stated that the new speaker will "only be in the position for a few weeks before the election is called"! So does this mean that we are now looking at an early autumn election then? Of course, he could have been referring to the Glasgow North East by-election, but who knows, he may well be talking about a general election!

Talking about the by-election, latest info about the likely candidates. SNP candidate looks likely to be Councillor Grant Thoms, which would make sense seeing as he represents a wide area of the constituency in the council. Labour candidate looks likely not to be Paul Martin (Michael's son) so looks as if it's going to be Willie Bain, Michael Martins election agent.

Whoever the candidates are and no matter how good it looks for the SNP, I'm not taking anything for granted! At the moment, I think the SNP is probably ahead, but we won't know for sure until the campaign is properly underway and the voting actually takes place. The state of Labour, both locally and nationally, being in such a dire state certainly helps us, as does the fact that a lot of the Labour council school closures are in the area!

Labour sources have admitted that they don't believe they will win this one, but they said that before Glenrothes! Saying that, however, the situation has changed dramatically since Glenrothes and things are more favourable towards the SNP this time!

SPEAKER WILL RESIGN ON 21st JUNE

Latest update: Michael Martin will resign on the 21st June and a new speaker will be elected on the 22nd June.

Talk of an interim speaker to serve until the next general election is being made. Possibilities for a replacement are Ann Widecombe (Conservative) and Vince Cable (Liberal Democrats).

It was a bit of an anti-climax to what has been one of the most historic days in politics and democracy! His speech was billed to be one of the great events, but instead it was all over in about 35 seconds!

His resignation will be at the start of the summer holidays which will mean that the Glasgow North East by-election will be held during the summer months.

BREAKING NEWS: LABOUR PARTY CONSTITUENCY OFFICE TOLD TO PREPARE FOR BY-ELECTION!

Latest update: The Labour party constituency office in Glasgow North East has been told to prepare for a by-election during the summer months!

This effectively confirms that there will be a by-election during the summer in Glasgow North East!

He was a decent man but it is about time Michael Martin stood down and allow someone new to take over. Now it will be up to the people of Glasgow North East to have their say what they think of this out of date and out of touch Labour government! It will be a very interesting summer!

BREAKING NEWS: SPEAKER TO RESIGN!

Just hearing that that the Speaker Maichael Martin is now going to resign this afternoon!

Sky News says that he will make a statement toParliament this afternoon where he will announce that is is to stand down!

Still not heard if wether he will stand down as an MP as well, but will report back with further information and comment later!

By-election in Glasgow North East?

After watching the Speaker Michael Martins abysmal performance in the Commons yesterday, it is now looking increasingly likely that the Speaker will not only stand down from the Speakership but will resign as the MP for Glasgow North East as well! This would, obviously, trigger yet another likely devastating by-election for Labour!

Glasgow North East is just right next door to Glasgow East, now held by John Mason (Hooray!), and we all know that the last thing Gordon Brown wants now is another by-election defeat in a Labour heartland, and with the decision of whether a vote of no confidence on the speaker is to held or not now entrusted upon the Prime Minister, I'm not sure he will really want to hold a vote.

A vote of no confidence is urgently needed and I think over the coming days we will see various MP's demanding that the PM holds the vote. Of course, it's equally likely that the Speaker will use the threat of triggering a by-election as a way of hopefully persuading the PM not to hold the vote!

Whatever Gordon Brown decides to do, one thing is for certain, and that is that the next few days will be very interesting indeed and the likelihood of a by-election in Glasgow North East will increase dramatically! In the words of one MP, "We are looking at a dead Speaker walking!"