Showing posts with label European elections. Show all posts
Showing posts with label European elections. Show all posts

Wednesday, 3 June 2009

Election will prove to be beginning of the end for Brown

It now seems there are literally cabinet ministers resigning every hour! And indeed there are! This has, without a doubt, been Gordon Brown's worst day ever as Prime Minister! Now there is a letter going about the Labour backbenchers calling for Brown to go and is believed to have been signed by as much as 100 Labour MPs! If this is true, and it's looking increasingly like it is, then this is truly the beginning of the end for the PM!



Tomorrows Euro election will nail the final nail in the coffin for Brown! Why? Because Labour is going to lose big, and I mean BIG!!! The latest opinion poll for the Euro vote put the SNP a massive 19 points ahead of Labour! SNP are now above 40%, for both Europe and Westminster! So what about the seats. Scotland has six euro seats (one less than last time) and the result is based on Proportional Representation. My prediction is this:


  • SNP - Wins 3 seats and wins popular vote

  • Labour - Will hold on to 2 seats but do very badly in popular vote

  • Conservatives - Wins 1 seat and better and improved showing in popular vote

  • Lib Dems - Loses their sole seat and are squeezed in popular vote

This prediction is actually quite a good one for Labour as it is perfectly possible Labour will only win one seat! And what about after the election? Well, we won't know the full result of the vote until Sunday evening as it will take days to count all the votes, but here is how things will likely appear to happen - An email is due to be sent on Friday around the Labour backbenchers calling on Brown to resign. Brown will resist this at first, but pressure will really intensify. On Monday, the Euro result will pile even more pressure on Brown. On Tuesday, I think we will begin to wonder if cabinet ministers are now willing to serve under Brown and I have a feeling that rumours of discontent among the cabinet will emerge. Wednesday will be a big day at Westminster as a vote is due to take place on whether there should be an immediate general election. The motion is being tabled by the SNP and Plaid Cymru and has the backing of the Tories and the Lib Dems and possibly several Labour MPs! It will probably not pass, but the vote will be very close so it will be seen as a vote of confidence in the Prime Minister!


My guess is that Brown now only has about two weeks left as PM! The public are outstandingly angry, the government's own backbenchers are angry and a Tory government now looks certain after the next election! The SNP looks set to win its targeted 2o seats at Westminster, possibly even making it a bigger party than the Lib Dems! Surely things cannot get any worse for Gordon Brown? But they can, and they will! We are looking at a dead PM walking! Not since Margaret Thatcher have we seen anything like this! The people of this country do not deserve a PM who has lost control and authority and a PM who, some, people feel sorry for! A strong Prime Minster is needed! But what this whole thing has revealed is that Westminster has no authority or control over Scotland and Independence is needed more than ever before! The case for independence makes sense. The only way Scotland can get away from all the London sleaze and corruption is by having an independent Scottish Parliament!


Voters tomorrow have a chance to vote for change, let's hope they do that by voting SNP! I'll have all the latest about the election tomorrow and the feeling from the polling places as well! So to everyone out there, good luck crushing Labour tomorrow!

Sunday, 17 May 2009

Enough is enough! It's time for fundamental change!

It's been some week, hasn't it! Politicians from every party have been found out for squandering our cash! A mortgage that was already paid off, bookcases, moats, trouser pressers, and even horse manure are all just some of the things our elected representatives have claiming expenses for! So far, the MP who has been found to be the countries most expensive politician is Eric Joyce, the Labour MP for Falkirk, who claimed a grand total of £187, 334 of taxpayers money! What's interesting is that, out of the top 50 most expensive MPs, a staggering 42 of them are all Labour!! It's interesting as, just last year, Gordon Brown stated at his party conference that the Labour party was a party of "moral values" and a "drive for social reform"! Well, nothing could be further from the truth, and the voters know it! Take one constituent from the Speaker Micheal Martin's constituency, who said, she will "never, never vote Labour again"! Remember, it used to be that this was a place that people would vote for a monkey with a red rosette!

But what's happening here is not just a bad time for Labour, instead, what we are witnessing is something very much historical happening! Ever since 1921, the two main parties have been the Conservatives and the Labour party, with Tweedledum and Tweedledee switching from opposition to government several time over that 50 - 60 years! Now, that could all be about to change! Take a recent opinion poll, for example. Labour was put at just 17%, making neck and neck with the UK Independence Party and only three points ahead of the Liberal Democrats! As for the Scottish sample of that poll, Labour was at just 21%, it's lowest ever level in Scotland, with the SNP a massive 19 points ahead of Labour on 40%! Think about it, just a few years ago, a poll like this in Scotland would have been simple unthinkable, but then so was the thought of Labour MPs squandering taxpayers money, like spending £16, 000 on a mortgage already paid off!

What these polls represent is a real desire for, not just any old change of government like we've had over the past 50 - 60 years, but real fundamental change, with a desire for politics to tread on to uncharted ground, with not even just a completely new wrath of MPs, but a desire for a new agenda and a new party of government! We had our first taste of new governance in 2007 when Scotland voted in the SNP for the first time in history! Now, at Westminster, people are just becoming sick and tired of the old political class that has become out of touch and out of time! It is now being seriously suggested that the Labour party could follow the same path as the Liberals did in 1921 by becoming just the third largest party and not having any real chance of being in government for at least 50 years! In a way, it's not really that surprising that Labour should be punished in this way. It is the Labour party that has made democracy in this country a joke and a mockery!

When Labour became New Labour in the 90's, they effectively gave up and abandoned the very thing that the Labour party was set up to do, to help the non-privileged and to redistribute wealth from the rich to the poor! People are now asking themselves, what is the point of the Labour party? What do they honestly stand for? What record can Labour claim for the past 12 years? Well, I'll tell you what Labour's record is:-

  • 1 in every 4 children living in poverty
  • Pensioner poverty increasing by 20, 000 people, making the total number of pensioners in poverty 200, 000
  • A deregulated market economy that has led us into the worst recession since the 1930's
  • A centralised and part privatised NHS, which is not even worthy of the name
  • An illegal war in Iraq
  • Thousands of students in huge debt after leaving college and University
  • Rising inflation, food prices and, of course, taxes
  • Spending £25 billion to replace Trident (think what that money could have bought)
  • Closure and reduction of vital services - such as the Post office
  • Introduction ID cards (a total waste of money)
  • A £1 billion cut in Scotland's budget meaning cuts in Schools and hospitals

What sort of record is this? And the Labour party is "Proud" of this record! It's a disgrace! People are just fed up! Fundamental change is needed as it is the only way the trust between the public and their elected representatives can be brought back! We have two elections in the next 12 months, the European election in less than 3 weeks time and the General election next year. I have a feeling that it will be in these elections that Labour is given the biggest kicking of its life and effectively killed off for many, many years to come! The current political system that has existed for the past 50 - 60 years is about to come to an end and, as a result, Democracy in this country is about to change! We will be the witnesses to history and it will be us that make it happen and I urge every person reading this to make it happen and vote for fundamental change! Of course, that comes with a warning! DO NOT vote for the fascist and racist views of the BNP! Take a lesson from history, where, in the Weimar republic of Germany in the 1920s and 30s, during a time of depression and political upheaval, many voters became fed up and turned to the Nazis! Think of the consequences of that and how NOT casting your vote for the BNP can stop that from being repeated! Fundamental change can happen in other forms and other parties! Of course, the best fundamental change we can create is by voting for Independence and giving ourselves that chance to run our own affairs and create a better system! After all, we can't do any worse than at the moment!

Monday, 11 May 2009

SNP on course to win Euro elections!

This will knock the whole MP's expenses saga off the front pages, or at least it should! If not then I'll just be happy if it actually just gets a mention! To be honest, this story was actually in a newspaper so at least it has been mentioned! So what's so big about this story that I believe it should be the main headline grabbing story! Well, it's yet another poll, but not just any poll, an opinion poll for the European election!!!! Oh, the drama! Stop the Press! Call the Palace immediately, quick!!



Actually it is a good poll, for the SNP anyway. The SNP stands for euro voting intentions at 37%, giving us a massive 17 point lead over Labour, who are stuck at just 25%! In fact, Labour, in Scotland, are now only two points ahead of the Tories, who are at 23%! Meanwhile, Tavish Scott's ego party (or for those who care, Liberal Democrats) are pushed right down to a mere 8%! How would this result in seats then:



SNP :- 3 seats

Labour :- 2 seats

Tories :- 1 seat

Lib Dems :- 0 seats



This would result in SNP candidates Ian Hudgeton, Alyn Smith and Aileen McLeod all becoming Scotland's super three MEP's! But one question still remains, will the turnout go beyond 25%!